CAPM Calculator - Expected Return Using Beta
Calculate expected return with the Capital Asset Pricing Model using risk-free rate, beta, and expected market return.
Enter market assumptions and beta to estimate the required return for an asset.
CAPM Calculator - Expected Return Using Beta
Calculate expected return with the Capital Asset Pricing Model using risk-free rate, beta, and expected market return.
Enter market assumptions and beta to estimate the required return for an asset.
About the CAPM Calculator
The CAPM calculator estimates a security's required or expected return using the Capital Asset Pricing Model. Analysts use CAPM in equity valuation, hurdle-rate setting, portfolio review, and cost-of-equity estimates because it connects expected return to systematic market risk. The form asks for the risk-free rate, beta, expected market return, and an optional investment amount so the percentage return can be translated into a dollar expectation.
The formula is: CAPM expected return = risk-free rate + beta x (expected market return - risk-free rate). The term in parentheses is the market risk premium. Beta scales that premium: a beta of 1.2 assumes the asset is more sensitive to market moves than the market portfolio, while a beta below 1 implies lower systematic risk. The calculator shows the market risk premium and the expected annual gain on the entered investment amount to make the components easy to audit.
Use CAPM when comparing stocks with different betas, checking whether a valuation model's discount rate is reasonable, or explaining why a riskier asset should demand a higher expected return. It is also useful for scenario analysis: changing the risk-free rate or market return shows how macro assumptions can move the required return even when company fundamentals do not change.
CAPM is a model, not a guarantee. Beta is backward-looking and can be unstable, the chosen market return is an assumption, and the model does not capture company-specific risk, liquidity risk, leverage changes, currency exposure, or behavioral factors. For investment decisions, use the result alongside sensitivity analysis, comparable company returns, and a review of business risk.
For best results, keep all inputs on the same time basis and currency basis, then save the assumptions beside the output. That practice makes the estimate easier to audit later and prevents a common spreadsheet error: mixing monthly values with annual values or combining before-tax and after-tax figures. Re-run the scenario with conservative and optimistic assumptions before using the result in a budget, filing decision, trade review, or transaction memo.
CAPM Examples
These worked examples use the displayed formula exactly, with real inputs and the displayed primary result.
| Market assumptions | Expected return | Model note |
|---|---|---|
| Risk-Free Rate (%): 4, Beta: 1.2, Expected Market Return (%): 9, Investment Amount: 10000 | 10.00% | The 5% market risk premium is multiplied by 1.2 and added to the 4% risk-free rate. |
| Risk-Free Rate (%): 3, Beta: 0.8, Expected Market Return (%): 8, Investment Amount: 0 | 7.00% | A below-market beta lowers the required return relative to the 8% market assumption. |
| Risk-Free Rate (%): 4.5, Beta: 1.5, Expected Market Return (%): 10, Investment Amount: 25000 | 12.75% | A high-beta stock gets a larger risk premium, implying $3,187.50 expected annual gain on $25,000. |
How to Use the CAPM Calculator
- Enter the risk-free rate, often a Treasury yield.
- Enter the asset beta relative to the market.
- Enter the expected market return for the same period.
- Optionally enter an investment amount for expected annual gain.
- Click Calculate CAPM to see required return and risk premium.
CAPM Calculator FAQ
What does beta mean in CAPM?
Beta measures sensitivity to market movements. A beta above 1 implies higher market risk than the broad market, while a beta below 1 implies lower sensitivity.
What should I use as the risk-free rate?
Investors commonly use a Treasury yield matching the investment horizon, such as a 10-year government bond yield for long-term equity analysis. The important point is to use a consistent risk-free assumption when comparing several assets.
Is CAPM a forecast?
CAPM estimates a required return based on systematic risk. It is not a guarantee and does not include company-specific events, valuation changes, or liquidity risk.
What is market risk premium?
It is expected market return minus the risk-free rate. CAPM multiplies that premium by beta and adds the risk-free rate.
Can beta be negative?
Yes, although uncommon. A negative beta asset is expected to move opposite the market, which can lower the CAPM required return.
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